What's happening in Europe
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Information overload leaves industry confused about outlook |
THERE is a wealth of information available throughout the container shipping industry in terms of supply and demand projections. The only trouble is that a number of these forecasts appear to be at odds with each other.
A cursory glance of some of the market's leading authorities on the topic of supply and demand growth reveals some agreement at times, but at other times there are some rather surprising discrepancies.
Let's first look at some of the "crystal-ball gazing" on supply growth this year...
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Record-high delivery of boxships in 2013, but fleet growth may be marginal |
CONTAINERSHIP deliveries are forecast to hit an all-time high this year with a projected 1.7 million TEU coming on stream. However, with so many variables that are often not taken into account, the actual increase in the active global containership fleet this year could be significantly lower.
Based on data compiled by Clarkson Research Services the global containership fleet at the end of 2012 stood at 16.23 million TEU.
According to the group's current estimates the fleet will grow by roughly seven per cent to 17.36 million TEU by the end of this year. This represents an increase in tonnage of 1.13 million TEU - well short of the 1.7 million TEU forecast by other parties. However, Clarkson's figures do take into account a number of factors, including its own estimates on delivery slippage and scrapping, as this writer understands...>More |
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East-West rates sharp slump reveals rising volatility in container shipping |
EAST-west trade freight rates have fallen dramatically since the beginning of the year, but are still firmly above the lows of 2011 and 2009, according to data released by Drewry Maritime Research.
In a recent webinar presentation by the maritime consultancy group entitled "Are you confused by ever changing freight rates" Drewry revealed that freight rates across all east-west trades today stand at a collective index reading of roughly US$2,000 per FEU.
This figure is well down from the estimated $2,600 per FEU recorded at the beginning of the year, as shown in the graph below...
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The covert consolidation of the container shipping industry
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THE container shipping industry lost US$4.7 billion in 2012 on top of a loss of $5.97 billion in 2011, reports Alphaliner.
This is in addition to the $20 billion loss during the financial crisis of 2009. The industry did rebound in 2010, however, the approximately $13 billion profit in that one year alone has easily been wiped out since.
Based on the above figures we can see that the industry is between $17 billion and $18 billion in the hole. These losses simply cannot continue. There will surely be consequences for the shipping lines going forward if this does not change, and soon....>More |
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June
Issue - U.S. Trade
US economic outlook - is the glass half full or half empty?
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The 'new normal' in a post-financial crisis world
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Keeping an eye on supply in 2013
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Where to now for China as low-value goods manufacturing
reaches plateau >More
Global shipper highlights the need for carriers to focus on
service and not price >More
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May
Issue - Mediterranean & Africa Trade
Bleak outlook for Asia-Med in 2013, but big ships may
prove key to optimism
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Trade profile: The Red Sea (An Overview)
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Weak Asia-Med volumes not enough to dampen
Barcelona's spirit
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Volatility to persist for Asia-Europe and Med rates in 2013 >More
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April
Issue - Intra Asia Trade
Up and coming Cambodia to play growing role in
Intra-Asia trade
>More
Thai authorities to invest hopes on Laem Chabang port
>More
Cabotage: a formidable barrier to world trade growth, says
World Economic Forum
>More
Cheap Malaysian bunker fuel lures carriers away from
Singapore >More
Global container trade growth for 2013 revised down as
market mood darkens >More
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March
Issue - China Trade
Shipyard capacity could be slashed by 40pc and still meet demand
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How Carrefour's China sourcing paid off
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Big ships do shippers no favours: fewer calls, slow transits, high inventory costs
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Early forecast points to stronger 2013 after
disappointing 2012 >More
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February
Issue - Europe Trade
Will a merger between Germany's two premier
container carriers materialise? >More
High hopes for Wilhelmshaven terminal amidst
Europe gloom >More
Weak Asia-Med volumes not enough to dampen
Barcelona's spirit
>More
Go big or go home: Smaller carriers' days on
Asia-Europe trade are numbered
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The challenges of creating stability in a naturally
unstable market
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January
Issue - U.S. Trade
Shippers and carriers realise the benefits of shipping
through Houston
>More
US data offers confusion about economic outlook for
shipping's number one customer
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Port of Portland set to take advantage of changing
global economic climate
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Ports must view market as a marathon, not a
100-metre sprint, says Long Beach
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Is the sunset of panamax vessels close at hand?>More
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December
Issue - Intra Asia Trade
No luck for PSA in Indian Subcontinent as terminal operator looks to homeward expansion
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How much has changed in the liner landscape in 2012
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Trade profile: Southeast Asia (Overview)
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Myanmar calling: shipping lines set sights on new opportunity
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What will be the fate of Malaysia's Penang Port? >More
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